BUMP
I think I have finally figured out this Ideal Org thing, and I now I will share some new data on the progress.
Firstly, one of the things that has caused great confusion about the status (money to go etc) of the Ideal org is that it is actually split up into
Phases.
There are three principal Phases:
Phase 1 : Lots of stuff (~ $6.8 million)
Phase 2 : Actual Construction (~ $3.5 million)
Phase 3 : Fixtures, Furniture and Equipment (~ $1.5 million)
Total: Still about $11.8 million, though possibly a bit less.
When previous figures of "$X to go", or "$X needed' have been mentioned they have been quoting for a specific phase (I think).
Sydney Org finally finished fundraising for Phase 1 in May this year.
They currently have ~$2.3 million to complete Phase 2.
To sum it up,
they have a total of ~$3.8 million left. Or around
30%.
The following is a graph of the fundraising status over the last year:
I also have a graph which shows data back to 2006, but the data back then wasn't very reliable. Contrary to the trend shown in the above image, before 2010 the fundraising status was mostly flat-lining, the beginning of 2010 marking the 'relaunch' of the Sydney Ideal Org Fundraising Project.
And as you can see from the graph, they have been making steady progress this year.
However the ferociousness of this fundraising must be remarked upon.
In 2010 they have had in excess of TWENTY fundraising events. These events usually have a theme, for example; the “Harry Potter and the Conquest of the Physical Universe” event, the "Braveheart" event, the "Mat Hatter Tea Party" event, the "Men in Black event", the "Biffo Footy Night" event etc. Yes, they most definitely have a taste for 'borrowing' the intellectual property from movies.
Anyway, they have been hosting these CONSTANT events, nearly every week in fact, and at every one people are regged to 'give it all they got' because the Ideal org is really the only thing that is going to save Scientology and boom the Orgs.
Quotes:
"Our future depends on the opening of our Ideal Org, to actually Clear NSW and ANZO"
"The stats say it all – those Ideal Orgs are way above 'average' org. The production from the handful of Ideal Orgs is more than all the other Class V orgs! When I was first shown these facts a couple of years ago I really wanted to support this because I could see that, finally, our goals would be achieved. Even though the target was pretty big (who would have thought of each org raising millions of dollars each a few years ago?!) at least we now had the correct order of magnitude. "
"For example – the existing 15 Ideal Organisations deliver more than twice as much as all the other Organisations put together. "
"Ideal Orgs change and save lives on a large scale. By actual stats from other Ideal Orgs the minimal average production of an Ideal Org is 14 X to 30 X an average Org, depending on the statistic."
But how many times can one person 'give it all they got' !?! Its utter insanity what they are doing, every week being broken down to give more and more and more. How are the public surviving this?
Well it seems many aren't. From what I have found there really is less then 100 active Scientologists pushing this. Usually about 40-70 people turn up to these events now, and throughout my data collecting I only have the names of about 60 people who have upgraded their donation status this year, in comparison to 150 over the last 4 years. Why haven't those other 90 donated this year?
Of course my data is not complete, so don't take these stats as 100% correct.
Anyway, so when can we expect a Sydney Ideal Org?
I can apply regression analysis to the above data, but it wouldn't be smart to try and automatically extrapolate this kind of data.
I reckon they might be able to complete the fundraising by LRH's birthday in 2011, then have an opening in Mid-Late 2011.