CommunicatorIC
@IndieScieNews on Twitter
Why the Scientology combination of Success Stories and KSW is vomitously and diarrheatically retarded. An ongoing investigation.
For those more theoretically inclined, some key concepts are:
Falsifiability
Confirmation Bias
Cherry Picking
Just-so story
Correlation does not imply causation.
The placebo effect.
Some may prefer a simple (perhaps for now overly simple) example.
Gladys has cancer. She hears that the all natural, organic substance or vitamin FixItAll (tm) is a cure for cancer. She takes FixItAll. Her cancer goes into remission. Obviously, FixItAll is a cure for cancer.
She writes a Success Story.
Um, no.
It turns out that one out of 10 people who have cancer and take FixItAll go into remission. Still, people figure that a 1/10 chance is better than 0/10, and therefore taking FixItCall is a good idea.
Um, no.
Because it turns out that one out of 10 people who have cancer in Gladys' comparable group (e.g., stage of cancer, age, prior treatment history, etc.) go into remission spontaneously.
Or
It turns out that one out of 10 people who have cancer in Gladys' group (e.g., stage of cancer, age, prior treatment history, etc.) go into remission if they ingest a simple sugar pill instead of FixItAll.
So it turns out FixItAll doesn't do shit.
But it can get worse.
There is a scientifically and medically tested and statistically verified treatment for cancer. It has a success rate of 50%. But Gladys doesn't go for that because she gets her medical information from her friends on Facebook, so she opts for FixItAll. And her 50% chance of surviving cancer goes to no better than if she took fucking sugar pill.
Now, a naive person might think that Scientology couldn't possibly make this situation worse. But we know better. OF COURSE Scientology can make the situation worse. And does.
The promoters of FixItAll adopt a new rule, known as KSW --- Keeping Stupidity Working.
KSW is the irrefutable, undeniable LAW (in Scientology terms, a ser fac -- a fixed idea used to make oneself right and others wrong) that FixItAll ALWAYS works if properly applied to an ethical person. So if FixItAll does not work, it is necessarily only because it was not properly applied, or the cancer patient was not ethical. Because FixItAll always works. By definition.
So the promoters of FixItAll, exhibiting conformation bias, and cherry picking only positive results, cite only "Success Stories." And if anyone should deign to point out that FixItAll does not always work, or works no more often than a placebo or spontaneous remission, the promoters of FixItAll will get very upset, and point out that FixItAll ALWAYS works... unless it is not properly applied or the patient was unethical.
Now there are some people who do not apply the above concepts. This is because they are: (1) innocently ignorant; (2) too stupid to understand them; or (3) understand them, but are loathsome viciously immoral scum sucking pieces of shit who are trying to prey upon desperate and often less informed people.
Let's take a simple example from Scientology. Somebody does a touch assist. The "patient" feels better. Therefore, touch assists "work."
Um, no.
What the average Scientologist never thinks of, and wouldn't possibly do if he did, is to compare that case to one where the person had an identical injury, and simply let the same amount of time pass, only to find that the recovery was identical. Because, duh, many injuries get better (e.g., swelling goes down) with the passage of time, and the touch assist didn't do shit.
Or let us consider another Scientology example. Hubbard said that cancer is caused by a Second Dynamic Engram according to one of his stupendously ignorant and cretinously stupid theories. Therefore, all one needs to do to cure cancer is audit out that particular Second Dynamic Engram.
So Scientologist Phyllys declines scientifically and medically tested and statistically verified treatment for cancer, undergoes auditing as a treatment for cancer, and suffers a prolonged, excruciatingly painful and perhaps avoidable death.
And some Scientologists will quietly mutter that Phyllys was obviously out-ethics and/or the auditor screwed up, because we all know that the Tech always works when properly applied to an ethical person.
Nonetheless, there may, statistically, be a case where Dorris undergoes Second Dynamic Cancer Engram Auditing and goes into remission. Such auditing, of course, didn't do shit. She would have spontaneously gone into remission anyway (as did X% of her comparable group), but this won't stop Corporate Scientologists and Independent Scientologists -- and, indeed, perhaps some people here -- from touting her as a "Success Story." This is because, as we have learned, such people are: (1) innocently ignorant of the above concepts; (2) too stupid to understand the above concepts; or (3) understand them, but are loathsome viciously immoral scum sucking pieces of shit who are trying to prey upon desperate and often less informed people.
For those more theoretically inclined, some key concepts are:
Falsifiability
Confirmation Bias
Cherry Picking
Just-so story
Correlation does not imply causation.
The placebo effect.
Some may prefer a simple (perhaps for now overly simple) example.
Gladys has cancer. She hears that the all natural, organic substance or vitamin FixItAll (tm) is a cure for cancer. She takes FixItAll. Her cancer goes into remission. Obviously, FixItAll is a cure for cancer.
She writes a Success Story.
Um, no.
It turns out that one out of 10 people who have cancer and take FixItAll go into remission. Still, people figure that a 1/10 chance is better than 0/10, and therefore taking FixItCall is a good idea.
Um, no.
Because it turns out that one out of 10 people who have cancer in Gladys' comparable group (e.g., stage of cancer, age, prior treatment history, etc.) go into remission spontaneously.
Or
It turns out that one out of 10 people who have cancer in Gladys' group (e.g., stage of cancer, age, prior treatment history, etc.) go into remission if they ingest a simple sugar pill instead of FixItAll.
So it turns out FixItAll doesn't do shit.
But it can get worse.
There is a scientifically and medically tested and statistically verified treatment for cancer. It has a success rate of 50%. But Gladys doesn't go for that because she gets her medical information from her friends on Facebook, so she opts for FixItAll. And her 50% chance of surviving cancer goes to no better than if she took fucking sugar pill.
Now, a naive person might think that Scientology couldn't possibly make this situation worse. But we know better. OF COURSE Scientology can make the situation worse. And does.
The promoters of FixItAll adopt a new rule, known as KSW --- Keeping Stupidity Working.
KSW is the irrefutable, undeniable LAW (in Scientology terms, a ser fac -- a fixed idea used to make oneself right and others wrong) that FixItAll ALWAYS works if properly applied to an ethical person. So if FixItAll does not work, it is necessarily only because it was not properly applied, or the cancer patient was not ethical. Because FixItAll always works. By definition.
So the promoters of FixItAll, exhibiting conformation bias, and cherry picking only positive results, cite only "Success Stories." And if anyone should deign to point out that FixItAll does not always work, or works no more often than a placebo or spontaneous remission, the promoters of FixItAll will get very upset, and point out that FixItAll ALWAYS works... unless it is not properly applied or the patient was unethical.
Now there are some people who do not apply the above concepts. This is because they are: (1) innocently ignorant; (2) too stupid to understand them; or (3) understand them, but are loathsome viciously immoral scum sucking pieces of shit who are trying to prey upon desperate and often less informed people.
Let's take a simple example from Scientology. Somebody does a touch assist. The "patient" feels better. Therefore, touch assists "work."
Um, no.
What the average Scientologist never thinks of, and wouldn't possibly do if he did, is to compare that case to one where the person had an identical injury, and simply let the same amount of time pass, only to find that the recovery was identical. Because, duh, many injuries get better (e.g., swelling goes down) with the passage of time, and the touch assist didn't do shit.
Or let us consider another Scientology example. Hubbard said that cancer is caused by a Second Dynamic Engram according to one of his stupendously ignorant and cretinously stupid theories. Therefore, all one needs to do to cure cancer is audit out that particular Second Dynamic Engram.
So Scientologist Phyllys declines scientifically and medically tested and statistically verified treatment for cancer, undergoes auditing as a treatment for cancer, and suffers a prolonged, excruciatingly painful and perhaps avoidable death.
And some Scientologists will quietly mutter that Phyllys was obviously out-ethics and/or the auditor screwed up, because we all know that the Tech always works when properly applied to an ethical person.
Nonetheless, there may, statistically, be a case where Dorris undergoes Second Dynamic Cancer Engram Auditing and goes into remission. Such auditing, of course, didn't do shit. She would have spontaneously gone into remission anyway (as did X% of her comparable group), but this won't stop Corporate Scientologists and Independent Scientologists -- and, indeed, perhaps some people here -- from touting her as a "Success Story." This is because, as we have learned, such people are: (1) innocently ignorant of the above concepts; (2) too stupid to understand the above concepts; or (3) understand them, but are loathsome viciously immoral scum sucking pieces of shit who are trying to prey upon desperate and often less informed people.
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